How We Measure Performance

This page explains exactly how the win rate on our performance page is calculated — and what we deliberately leave out. The whole point is transparency: you should be able to read this and reproduce the maths yourself.

1. The one metric we report

We report a single, pooled win rate. It is calculated as: signals that reached profit ÷ (signals that reached profit + signals that stopped before profit). We frame it publicly as roughly 3 in 5 — an honest, realistic number rather than a marketing figure.

2. What counts as a win

A signal is a win if it reaches profit after firing — i.e. price travels far enough in the signal's direction to hit its first take-profit level. If it hits its stop loss first, it is counted as a loss. Nothing else. There is no partial credit, no "close enough" bucket, and no manual override.

3. What we exclude and why

Two categories are deliberately kept out of the metric:

• Open (unresolved) signals — their outcome isn't known yet, so counting them would distort the figure either way.
• Test / shadow signals — these are new configurations that ran live but were never shown to subscribers (see how our signals work). Including them would let us flatter the number with attempts nobody could ever trade.

4. What we don't do

No cherry-picking. We do not showcase our best asset or best timeframe as if it were representative of the whole; the reported number pools every qualifying signal. We do not hide losers, and we do not swap the metric for a vanity number (pips gained, theoretical PnL, best-week screenshots). If you can't reproduce a stat from resolved signals, we won't publish it.

5. Why win rate isn't everything

Win rate on its own is an incomplete picture. It doesn't say anything about risk-reward or drawdown. A strategy with a 45% win rate but winners that are twice the size of its losers is more profitable than a 70% strategy whose losers dwarf its winners. This is the first thing to understand before comparing any two signal services — and it's why our risk management guide matters as much as the score itself.

6. See it live

The number on the performance page is computed exactly as described above — no different maths, no cleaned-up subset. Every resolved signal we broadcast is in the denominator; every one that reached profit is in the numerator. If we ever change the formula, this page and the performance page get updated in the same release.

FAQ

Want to see the number now? Open the live performance page.